Analyzing Water Scarcity in Global CGE Models
08 Sep 2017 | Publications | Contributor(s): Jing Liu, Tom Hertel, Farzad Taheripour
Incorporating water into a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model operating at global scale can be extremely demanding due to the absence of standardized data, the sheer dimensions caused by...
Predicting Long Term Food Demand, Cropland Use and Prices
08 Sep 2017 | Publications | Contributor(s): Tom Hertel, Uris Lantz C Baldos, Dominique van der Mensbrugghe
This paper seeks to survey, understand and reconcile the widely divergent estimates of long run global crop output, land use and price projections in the current literature. We begin by reviewing...
Debunking the 'New Normal': Why World Food Prices are Expected to Resume their Long run Downward Trend
08 Sep 2017 | Publications | Contributor(s): Uris Lantz C Baldos, Tom Hertel
Contrary to the opinions expressed by many commentators, the recent episode of higher prices for agricultural commodities is likely a transitory phenomenon. When compared to the last half-century,...
Attaining Food and Environmental Security in an Era of Globalization
08 Sep 2017 | Publications | Contributor(s): Tom Hertel, Uris Lantz C Baldos
Attaining the twin goals of food and environmental security in the coming decades poses a significant sustainability challenge. This paper examines the food and environmental security implications...
Land Use in the 21st Century: Contributing to the Global Public Good
08 Sep 2017 | Publications | Contributor(s): Tom Hertel
This paper focuses on the evolution of global public goods related to the world’s land resources over the course of the 21st century, their potential impacts on the world’s poorest...