-
Assessing the Inter-regional Incidence of Climate Impacts on Agriculture
19 Oct 2017 | Contributor(s):: Tom Hertel
This is a presentation at IMPACTS WORLD 2017.
-
Managing the Global Commons: Sustainable Agriculture and Use of the World's Land and Water Resources in the 21st Century
19 Oct 2017 | Contributor(s):: Tom Hertel, Uris Lantz C Baldos, Laura C Bowling, Keith Cherkauer, Matthew Huber, David R Johnson, Carol Song, Dominique van der Mensbrugghe
This is a presentation at IMPACTS WORLD 2017.
-
Assessing the Poverty Impacts of Climate Change across Latin America
19 Oct 2017 | Contributor(s):: Tom Hertel, Monika Verma, Eduardo Magalhaes, Carlos Ludena, Uris Lantz C Baldos, Frances Moore
This is a poster presented at IMPACTS WORLD 2017, Germany.
-
Achieving Sustainable Irrigation Water Withdrawals: Global Impacts on Food Production and Land Use
27 Sep 2017 | Contributor(s):: Jing Liu, Tom Hertel, Richard Lammers, Alexander A Prusevich, Uris Lantz C Baldos, Danielle Grogan, Steve Frolking
Unsustainable water use challenges the capacity of water resources to ensure food security and continued growth of the economy. Adaptation policies targeting future water security can easily overlook its interaction with other sustainability metrics and unanticipated local responses to the...
-
Analyzing Water Scarcity in Global CGE Models
08 Sep 2017 | Contributor(s):: Jing Liu, Tom Hertel, Farzad Taheripour
Incorporating water into a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model operating at global scale can be extremely demanding due to the absence of standardized data, the sheer dimensions caused by intersecting river basins with countries, and difficulties to model demand for and supply of water....
-
Predicting Long Term Food Demand, Cropland Use and Prices
08 Sep 2017 | Contributor(s):: Tom Hertel, Uris Lantz C Baldos, Dominique van der Mensbrugghe
This paper seeks to survey, understand and reconcile the widely divergent estimates of long run global crop output, land use and price projections in the current literature. We begin by reviewing the history of such projections and the different models and assumptions used in these exercises. We...
-
Debunking the 'New Normal': Why World Food Prices are Expected to Resume their Long run Downward Trend
08 Sep 2017 | Contributor(s):: Uris Lantz C Baldos, Tom Hertel
Contrary to the opinions expressed by many commentators, the recent episode of higher prices for agricultural commodities is likely a transitory phenomenon. When compared to the last half-century, population growth is expected to be much slower in the coming decades, with nearly all of the growth...
-
Attaining Food and Environmental Security in an Era of Globalization
08 Sep 2017 | Contributor(s):: Tom Hertel, Uris Lantz C Baldos
Attaining the twin goals of food and environmental security in the coming decades poses a significant sustainability challenge. This paper examines the food and environmental security implications of a range of policies affecting the global food economy and terrestrial ecosystems, first in the...
-
Land Use in the 21st Century: Contributing to the Global Public Good
08 Sep 2017 | Contributor(s):: Tom Hertel
This paper focuses on the evolution of global public goods related to the world’s land resources over the course of the 21st century, their potential impacts on the world’s poorest households, as well as prospects for policy interventions aimed at enhancing these outcomes. It begins...
-
The power and pain of market-based carbon policies: a global application to greenhouse gases from ruminant livestock production
08 Sep 2017 | Contributor(s):: Benjamin Henderson, Alla A Golub, Daniel Djauhari Pambudi, Tom Hertel, Cecile Godde, Mario Herrero, Oscar Cacho, Pierre J. Gerber
The objectives of this research are to assess the greenhouse gas mitigation potential of carbon policies applied to the ruminant livestock sector [inclusive of the major ruminant species—cattle (Bos Taurus and Bos indicus), sheep (Ovis aries), and goats (Capra hircus)]— with...
-
Economic impacts of climate change on agriculture: A comparison of process-based and statistical yield models
07 Sep 2017 | Contributor(s):: Frances C Moore, Uris Lantz C Baldos, Tom Hertel
A large number of studies have been published examining the implications of climate change for agricultural productivity that, broadly speaking, can be divided into process-based modeling and statistical approaches. Despite a general perception that results from these methods differ...