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  1. Systems integration for global sustainability

    24 Jun 2016 | Publications | Contributor(s): Jianguo Liu, Harold Mooney, Vanessa Hull, Steven J. Davis, Joanne Gaskell, Thomas Hertel, Jane Lubchenco, Karen C. Seto, Peter Gleick, Claire Kremen, Shuxin Li

    Global sustainability challenges, from maintaining biodiversity to providing clean air and water, are closely interconnected yet often separately studied and managed. Systems...

    https://mygeohub.org/groups/geoshare/resources?id=1207

  2. Global market integration increases likelihood that a future African Green Revolution could increase crop land use and CO2 emissions

    24 Jun 2016 | Publications | Contributor(s): Thomas W. Hertel, Navin Ramankutty, Uris Lantz C Baldos

    There has been a resurgence of interest in the impacts of agricultural productivity on land use and the environment. At the center of this debate is the assertion that agricultural innovation is...

    https://mygeohub.org/groups/geoshare/resources?id=1205

  3. Global climate policy impacts on livestock, land use, livelihoods, and food security

    24 Jun 2016 | Publications | Contributor(s): Alla A. Golub, Benjamin B. Henderson, Thomas W. Hertel, Pierre J. Gerber, Steven K. Rose, Brent Sohngen

    Recent research has shed light on the cost-effective contribution that agriculture can make to global greenhouse gas abatement; however, the resulting impacts on agricultural production, pro-...

    https://mygeohub.org/groups/geoshare/resources?id=1203

  4. International trade buffers the impact of future irrigation shortfalls

    24 Jun 2016 | Publications | Contributor(s): Jing Liu, Thomas W. Hertel, Farzad Taheripour, Tingju Zhu, Claudia Ringler

    There is increasing interest in the water–food nexus, especially the restrictive effect of water on food production in hot spots where irrigation stress is growing. However, little is known...

    https://mygeohub.org/groups/geoshare/resources?id=1201

  5. Future property damage from flooding: sensitivities to economy and climate change

    24 Jun 2016 | Publications | Contributor(s): Jing Liu, Thomas W. Herte, Noah S. Diffenbaugh, Michael S Delgado, Moetasim Ashfaq

    Recent trends in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events have raised the concern that climate change could increase flooding risks and property damage. However, a major challenge in...

    https://mygeohub.org/groups/geoshare/resources?id=1199

  6. Climate adaptation as mitigation: the case of agricultural investments

    24 Jun 2016 | Publications | Contributor(s): David B Lobell, Uris Lantz C Baldos, Thomas W Hertel

      Successful adaptation of agriculture to ongoing climate changes would help to maintain productivity growth and thereby reduce pressure to bring new lands into agriculture. In this paper...

    https://mygeohub.org/groups/geoshare/resources?id=1197

  7. Agricultural adaptation to climate change in rich and poor countries: Current modeling practice and potential for empirical contributions

    24 Jun 2016 | Publications | Contributor(s): Thomas W. Herte, David B. Lobell

    In this paper we discuss the scope of the adaptation challenge facing world agriculture in the coming decades. Due to rising temperatures throughout the tropics, pressures for adaptation will be...

    https://mygeohub.org/groups/geoshare/resources?id=1195

  8. Debunking the 'new normal': Why world food prices are expected to resume their long run downward trend

    24 Jun 2016 | Publications | Contributor(s): Uris Lantz C Baldos, Thomas W. Hertel

    Contrary to the opinions expressed by many commentators, the recent episode of higher prices for agricultural commodities is likely a transitory phenomenon. When compared to the last half-century,...

    https://mygeohub.org/groups/geoshare/resources?id=1193

  9. Looking back to move forward on model validation: insights from a global model of agricultural land use

    24 Jun 2016 | Publications | Contributor(s): Uris Lantz C Baldos, Thomas W Hertel

    Global agricultural models are becoming indispensable in the debate over climate change impacts and mitigation policies. Therefore, it is becoming increasingly important to validate these models...

    https://mygeohub.org/groups/geoshare/resources?id=1191

  10. Global food security in 2050: the role of agricultural productivity and climate change

    24 Jun 2016 | Publications | Contributor(s): Uris Lantz C Baldos, Thomas W. Hertel

    In this paper, we examine how the complexities introduced by trends in agricultural productivity and climate change affect the future of global food security. We use a partial equilibrium model...

    https://mygeohub.org/groups/geoshare/resources?id=1189

  11. The role of international trade in managing food security risks from climate change

    20 Mar 2015 | Publications | Contributor(s): Uris Lantz C Baldos, Tom Hertel

    International trade plays an important role in facilitating global food security in the face of a changing climate. In considering this issue, it is useful to distinguish between two different...

    https://mygeohub.org/groups/geoshare/resources?id=1084

  12. Globalization of land use: distant drivers of land change and geographic displacement of land use

    31 Jul 2014 | Publications | Contributor(s): Patrick Meyfroidt, Eric F Lambin, Karl-Heinz Erb, Tom Hertel

    Several streams of research have recently converged to identify the growing importance of distant drivers of land change, interconnections between social-ecological systems that are separated...

    https://mygeohub.org/groups/geoshare/resources?id=771

  13. The role of irrigation in determining the global land use impacts of biofuels

    31 Jul 2014 | Publications | Contributor(s): Farzad Taheripour, Tom Hertel, Jing Liu

    Background: Recent studies have evaluated the land use consequences of biofuel programs and the associated carbon fluxes. However, all of these studies have effectively ignored the distinction...

    https://mygeohub.org/groups/geoshare/resources?id=769

  14. Market-mediated environmental impacts of biofuels

    31 Jul 2014 | Publications | Contributor(s): Tom Hertel, Wallace E. Tyner

    This paper surveys the evidence on market-mediated environmental impacts of biofuels, with special attention to the indirect greenhouse gas emissions stemming from land cover change in the wake of...

    https://mygeohub.org/groups/geoshare/resources?id=767

  15. Energy prices will play an important role in determining global land use in the twenty first century

    31 Jul 2014 | Publications | Contributor(s): Jevgenijs Steinbuks, Tom Hertel

    Global land use research to date has focused on quantifying uncertainty effects of three major drivers affecting competition for land: the uncertainty in energy and climate policies affecting...

    https://mygeohub.org/groups/geoshare/resources?id=765