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The role of international trade in managing food security risks from climate change
20 Mar 2015 | Publications | Contributor(s): Uris Lantz C Baldos, Tom Hertel
International trade plays an important role in facilitating global food security in the face of a changing climate. In considering this issue, it is useful to distinguish between two different time scales: inter-annual and inter-decadal. Inter-annual adjustments in international trade can play an...
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Managing the Global Commons: Sustainable Agriculture and Use of the World's Land and Water Resources in the 21st Century
19 Oct 2017 | Publications | Contributor(s): Tom Hertel, Uris Lantz C Baldos, Laura C Bowling, Keith Cherkauer, Matthew Huber, David R Johnson, Carol Song, Dominique van der Mensbrugghe
This is a presentation at IMPACTS WORLD 2017.
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Looking back to move forward on model validation: insights from a global model of agricultural land use
24 Jun 2016 | Publications | Contributor(s): Uris Lantz C Baldos, Thomas W Hertel
Global agricultural models are becoming indispensable in the debate over climate change impacts and mitigation policies. Therefore, it is becoming increasingly important to validate these models and identify critical areas for improvement. In this letter, we illustrate both the opportunities and...
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Global market integration increases likelihood that a future African Green Revolution could increase crop land use and CO2 emissions
24 Jun 2016 | Publications | Contributor(s): Thomas W. Hertel, Navin Ramankutty, Uris Lantz C Baldos
There has been a resurgence of interest in the impacts of agricultural productivity on land use and the environment. At the center of this debate is the assertion that agricultural innovation is land sparing. However, numerous case studies and global empirical studies have found little evidence...
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Global food security in 2050: the role of agricultural productivity and climate change
24 Jun 2016 | Publications | Contributor(s): Uris Lantz C Baldos, Thomas W. Hertel
In this paper, we examine how the complexities introduced by trends in agricultural productivity and climate change affect the future of global food security. We use a partial equilibrium model of global agriculture incorporating a food security module that links changes in the average dietary...